Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.217149 0.240867 0.265321 0.292364 0.321375 0.351508 0.385119
2024-12-29 0.190163 0.223231 0.258691 0.299363 0.344539 0.392999 0.448725
2025-01-05 0.166790 0.205911 0.249331 0.300713 0.359463 0.424160 0.500397
2025-01-12 0.147728 0.191078 0.240729 0.301145 0.371999 0.451803 0.547798
2025-01-19 0.131025 0.177172 0.231614 0.299585 0.381151 0.474882 0.589687
2025-01-26 0.119364 0.168115 0.227194 0.302661 0.395060 0.503092 0.637467
2025-02-02 0.111774 0.163317 0.227294 0.310674 0.414552 0.537813 0.693136
2025-02-09 0.102059 0.154895 0.222102 0.311481 0.424770 0.561163 0.735220
2025-02-16 0.095927 0.150627 0.221733 0.317983 0.441812 0.592753 0.787446
2025-02-23 0.090970 0.147495 0.222479 0.325643 0.460180 0.626014 0.841976
2025-03-02 0.082835 0.139290 0.215914 0.323256 0.465344 0.642629 0.875901
2025-03-09 0.077018 0.133927 0.212791 0.325084 0.475706 0.665662 0.917875
2025-03-16 0.070379 0.127019 0.207326 0.323703 0.482031 0.683989 0.954704
2025-03-23 0.066687 0.124243 0.207446 0.329805 0.498237 0.715095 1.008045
2025-03-30 0.061693 0.119071 0.203800 0.330412 0.506909 0.736424 1.049032
2025-04-06 0.056969 0.113947 0.199900 0.330382 0.514533 0.756321 1.088266
2025-04-13 0.052159 0.108294 0.194866 0.328425 0.519285 0.772320 1.122464
2025-04-20 0.049020 0.105172 0.193451 0.331546 0.530996 0.797593 1.168963
2025-04-27 0.047380 0.104482 0.195694 0.340011 0.550255 0.833147 1.229328
2025-05-04 0.044126 0.100708 0.192898 0.340813 0.558584 0.853963 1.270308
2025-05-11 0.042423 0.099576 0.194198 0.347723 0.575652 0.886772 1.327532
2025-05-18 0.041083 0.099001 0.196327 0.355879 0.594578 0.922285 1.388682
2025-05-25 0.037723 0.094379 0.191609 0.353320 0.597836 0.936211 1.420844